DOES THE HOMICIDE RATE EXPLAIN THE CHOICE OF THE ELECTOR?

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.20873/uft.2447-4266.2019v5n1p478

Keywords:

Português

Abstract

Do Homicide Rates Explain the Electoral Performance of Reelection Governors? This study analyzes the relationship between homicide rates and reelection of governors in Brazil from 1998 to 2014. The research assumes the understanding of voters' choices based on the rationality of their actions and their emotions, considering that the same is inserted in a specific context and goes through an electoral trajectory. The research works with the hypothesis that the higher the homicide rate in the State, the lower the number of governors reelected during the period. We used the descriptive statistics to present the data and statistical tests to prove the hypothesis presented.

Keywords: voter behavior, homicide rate, reelection.

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Author Biographies

Adriano Oliveira, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco

Doutor em Ciência Política. Professor do Departamento de Ciência Política da Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE). Autor de diversos livros sobre eleições, dentre os quais Eleições não são para principiantes: interpretando eventos eleitorais no Brasil, Editora Juruá, 2014. E-mail: adrianopolitica@uol.com.br

Flávia Barros Souza, Universidade Federal de Pernambuco

Graduada em Ciência Política com ênfase em Relações Internacionais pela Universidade Federal de Pernambuco (UFPE). E-mail: adrianopolitica@uol.com.br

 

Published

2019-01-14

How to Cite

OLIVEIRA, Adriano; SOUZA, Flávia Barros. DOES THE HOMICIDE RATE EXPLAIN THE CHOICE OF THE ELECTOR?. Observatory Journal, [S. l.], v. 5, n. 1, p. 478–496, 2019. DOI: 10.20873/uft.2447-4266.2019v5n1p478. Disponível em: https://sistemas.uft.edu.br/periodicos/index.php/observatorio/article/view/6043. Acesso em: 22 nov. 2024.

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